MLB Predictions Revisited

What good is a prediction if you don’t own up to it later. The baseball preview is still available on this site, so it seemed like a good idea to revisit it and see how good (and how bad) many of the predictions were. Overall, it looks like someone picked them before the season started…so at least I’ve got that going for me. Anway, I did a breakdown based on wins to see how many were good predictions and how many were not so good. Here is the scale that I established:

If actual wins match predicted, then it scored a rating of Perfect
If actual wins were within 5 games of the predicted, it scored a rating of Very Good
If actual wins were more than 5 but less than 10 off of predicted, it scored a rating of Decent
If actual wins were more than 10 but less than 15 off of predicted, it scored a rating of Not Good
If actual wins were more than 15 off of predicted, it scored a rating of Terrible

The final tally is:
1 Perfect
13 Very Good
4 Decent
6 Not Good
6 Terrible

In addition the playoff prediction tally is:
3 of 8 playoff teams correct (1 matchup exactly correct)
1 of 4 LCS teams correct
0 of 2 World Series teams correct
0 of 1 World Series Champion correct

For the raw data of the predictions see below. If it is a positive number then the team performed better than predicted by that many wins and if it is a negative number then the team performed worse than predicted by that many wins.

Indians -28
Mets -25
Dbacks -22
Royals -17
Orioles -13
Pirates -13
Rays -10
Reds -6
Dodgers -6
Braves -4
Athletics -4
Marlins -3
Cardinals -3
Red Sox -1
Nationals -1
Twins -1
Brewers -1
Cubs 0
Astros 2
Rangers 3
Mariners 3
Rockies 3
WSox 5
Blue Jays 7
Giants 8
Phillies 10
Yankees 11
Padres 13
Angels 16
Tigers 24

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Categories: Baseball

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